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Prediction for CME (2016-05-15T15:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2016-05-15T15:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/10657/-1
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2016-05-18T08:07Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 100.0%
Prediction Method: SPM2
Prediction Method Note:

SPM2 Input Parameters:
Date-time:   2016-05-15 15:36:00
Source Longtitude: 6
Source Latitude:  21
Initial Shock Speed:  538 ks/s
Background Solar Wind Speed:  390 km/s
Duration Time: 0.5 hour

Output results:The shock will arrive at the Earth at 2016-05-18 08:07:13
The transit time predicted is 64.52 hours!

Lead Time: 0.15 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2016-05-18T07:58Z

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